Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.395124 0.516920 0.649929 0.803850 0.975152 1.158283 1.367280
2025-03-23 0.229257 0.388076 0.582018 0.825558 1.114422 1.438987 1.824820
2025-03-30 0.142633 0.308350 0.530924 0.827592 1.194433 1.619153 2.135817
2025-04-06 0.079280 0.236940 0.473747 0.809110 1.240164 1.752488 2.387862
2025-04-13 0.052897 0.210951 0.470098 0.852678 1.356703 1.965383 2.728881
2025-04-20 0.034487 0.190391 0.469251 0.896414 1.470967 2.173873 3.063569
2025-04-27 0.022522 0.176440 0.475075 0.946995 1.592428 2.390107 3.406809
2025-05-04 0.017412 0.176836 0.503023 1.028234 1.753564 2.655205 3.808936
2025-05-11 0.010372 0.165364 0.508694 1.076061 1.869914 2.864343 4.143373
2025-05-18 0.003537 0.142619 0.490699 1.086816 1.935398 3.008978 4.398901
2025-05-25 NaN 0.101998 0.430756 1.029270 1.905220 3.030698 4.502518
2025-06-01 NaN 0.067435 0.371400 0.965934 1.862501 3.033106 4.579607
2025-06-08 NaN 0.045644 0.333474 0.936083 1.868811 3.103119 4.747459
2025-06-15 NaN 0.037248 0.327044 0.958586 1.950262 3.272099 5.040852
2025-06-22 NaN 0.027107 0.310374 0.961060 2.001250 3.400009 5.281689
2025-06-29 NaN 0.016199 0.282764 0.940977 2.017540 3.481156 5.462992
2025-07-06 NaN 0.014810 0.291712 0.988140 2.133523 3.694752 5.812014
2025-07-13 NaN 0.013572 0.300734 1.035374 2.249685 3.908753 6.161806
2025-07-20 NaN 0.013153 0.313559 1.089910 2.376948 4.137788 6.530970
2025-07-27 NaN 0.015984 0.343385 1.177293 2.553914 4.433615 6.985392
2025-08-03 NaN 0.015183 0.354427 1.228630 2.676682 4.657045 7.347975
2025-08-10 NaN 0.010951 0.345092 1.240164 2.739172 4.799634 7.607711
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003403 0.300131 1.178405 2.688487 4.788885 7.671043